Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.173392 0.201555 0.232892 0.270359 0.313957 0.363119 0.422805
2025-03-09 0.131319 0.169289 0.216120 0.278196 0.358443 0.458865 0.594387
2025-03-16 0.106712 0.147687 0.201928 0.279120 0.386430 0.530757 0.740381
2025-03-23 0.091527 0.134198 0.194031 0.284266 0.417377 0.607292 0.900274
2025-03-30 0.077479 0.119382 0.181117 0.278995 0.430974 0.659158 1.030063
2025-04-06 0.067246 0.108306 0.171534 0.276364 0.446783 0.714631 1.170938
2025-04-13 0.059739 0.100182 0.165022 0.277009 0.466877 0.778061 1.331542
2025-04-20 0.055763 0.097101 0.165915 0.289393 0.507124 0.878249 1.565547
2025-04-27 0.051909 0.093620 0.165533 0.299260 0.543884 0.976439 1.808423
2025-05-04 0.048309 0.090052 0.164435 0.307482 0.578376 1.074271 2.062847
2025-05-11 0.044324 0.085234 0.160435 0.309716 0.601815 1.154327 2.293731
2025-05-18 0.040173 0.079559 0.154123 0.306657 0.614523 1.215248 2.494632
2025-05-25 0.035686 0.072769 0.145055 0.297417 0.614582 1.252911 2.656762
2025-06-01 0.033636 0.070610 0.144809 0.305926 0.651791 1.369702 3.000014
2025-06-08 0.031057 0.067020 0.141213 0.306947 0.673299 1.456447 3.290179
2025-06-15 0.029186 0.064685 0.139908 0.312613 0.705369 1.569266 3.653078
2025-06-22 0.026537 0.060323 0.133757 0.306809 0.711127 1.624943 3.892480
2025-06-29 0.024406 0.056860 0.129159 0.303911 0.723070 1.695814 4.177114
2025-07-06 0.022754 0.054299 0.126280 0.304622 0.743510 1.788696 4.527745
2025-07-13 0.022123 0.054063 0.128709 0.318260 0.796792 1.966090 5.113966
2025-07-20 0.021337 0.053360 0.129948 0.329127 0.844574 2.135925 5.704491
2025-07-27 0.020488 0.052396 0.130444 0.338182 0.888892 2.302542 6.309912
2025-08-03 0.019332 0.050518 0.128469 0.340643 0.916350 2.429284 6.825085